Crude oil prices moved higher today as the chances of a lasting peace between the United States and Iran shriveled following Iran’s release of six conditions earlier this week and President Trump’s unsurprising reaction to them. At the time of writing, Brent crude traded at $87.72 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate was trading at $82.13 per barrel, after President Trump demanded that Iran pay reparations to the U.S. for war-related damages. “We're going to ask for money for the damage they've done over a 50-year period,”…

The latest Bloomberg data show that shipping transits through the Strait of Hormuz remained largely disrupted Monday morning, even as Iran and Oman reportedly moved closer to a deal. Brent crude futures traded near $85 a barrel as markets priced in the possibility that a deal to reopen the maritime chokepoint could be imminent. Yet global supply-chain stress remains near its highest level since the pandemic, and any normalization could take months, even if shipping traffic resumes. UBS senior international economist Pierre Lafourcade highlighted…

Over the past couple of years, Colombia’s clean energy transition has shifted into overdrive under President Gustavo Petro’s "Just Energy Transition" agenda, with the country pivoting away from fossil fuels towards wind and solar energy. Petro, Colombia’s first ever left-wing president, instituted a strict ban on signing new oil, gas and coal exploration contracts while securing multi-billion-dollar international funding partnerships for clean energy projects. This strategy helped Colombia’s renewable energy capacity to…

As peace in the Persian Gulf remains elusive and Ukrainian drones keep raining on Russian refineries, a global fuel crisis is looming larger by the day as demand is set to increase in the coming months, especially for diesel. Shortages are already reality in some parts of the world. In Southeast Asia, Reuters reported last week, palm oil farmers are seeing diesel supply shortages and spiking prices. In the United States, diesel fuel exports hit an all-time high in the first week of August, running at an average daily rate of 1.9 million barrels.…

With over 90% of Iraq’s annual budget still coming from oil exports and historically around 95% of that crude shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, securing an alternative export route while the Strait remains effectively blockaded has become an existential matter for Baghdad.  Aside from the billions lost in immediate oil revenues for OPEC’s second-largest oil producer, the blockade meant Iraq’s domestic oil storage tanks filled quickly to maximum capacity, forcing the shutdown of several production wells. The longer that…

A Texas-based oil company chaired by an entrepreneur thought to be close to U.S. President Donald Trump is moving drilling equipment in Greenland in preparation for an oil drilling campaign. However, the drilling plans or the moving of the equipment have not been authorized by the Greenland authorities yet, although a process to do so is under review at present. That’s why Greenland’s government has recently said a strong warning would be sent to the licensee “with a warning that all future logistical matters must be advised and…

The strangest part of America's latest offshore-wind retreat is not that several projects have been cancelled. Some were early-stage, expensive and increasingly difficult to permit. Weak projects should be allowed to fail. The strange part is that the U.S. government is paying companies to abandon one energy technology and directing their capital toward another. Between March and August, the Department of the Interior reached a series of agreements worth approximately $3.9 billion with TotalEnergies, Bluepoint Wind, Golden State Wind, Invenergy,…

Complex systems reveal their true characteristics only under stress. Disturbance exposes assumptions that routine operation conceals and becomes the catalyst for adaptation. Capital reassesses risk, governments reconsider policy, and markets establish a new equilibrium. The resulting system may ultimately prove stronger than the one that preceded it, but it is never identical. Recent developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz provide one such moment. Whether they ultimately prove to be a lasting geopolitical inflection point remains uncertain.…

Bank of America (BoFA) is warning that oil prices could continue climbing into the winter if the U.S. and Iran fail to reach an agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with severe shortages already emerging in diesel, gasoline and global natural gas markets. “We’ve been expecting oil to be in the $70 to $80 a barrel range for Brent on the assumption that we were going to see some resolution,” Francisco Blanch, Bank of America’s head of commodities and derivatives research, told CNBC on Monday. “But if we don’t,…