The Next Fort Knox? Why the Army is Going All-In On Rare Earths
In 1937, the Army guarded the first shipments of a critical resource, U.S. gold, as it was transferred into Fort Knox. Nearly 90 years later, Washington faces a similar situation with a very different resource. The Army picked REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) to build a facility to process dysprosium and terbium at Utah’s Tooele Army Depot - two rare earths that keep high-performance magnets working in weapons, radar, sonar and electric motors. Gold went to Fort Knox because America was unsure they could protect it from threats abroad. Rare earths…
$100 Oil Puts Big Tech’s $725 Billion AI Bet at Risk
Crude oil prices are retreating after Brent hit $100 again last week as the United States and Iran took a break from hostilities over the weekend. Yet with the outcome of the war still highly uncertain, the outlook for stock markets has dimmed. Add to that Big Tech’s AI spending binge and fresh warnings about energy commodity shortages, and we are looking at extended market turbulence ahead. Last week saw a rare pile-up of adverse market developments that must have shaken the confidence of many a market bull. Besides the oil price spike,…
Jet Fuel Spike Blows a Hole in Airline Profit Forecasts
The fresh spike in jet fuel prices in July upended the profit guidance of U.S. airlines, whose management teams had to readjust earnings estimates for the year just days ahead of reporting second-quarter results. The re-escalation in the Middle East earlier this month resulted in a 20% spike in jet fuel prices during the two weeks in which air carriers were reporting their April-June earnings and attempting to guide earnings for the third quarter and the rest of the year. The extreme volatility in crude oil and consequently, jet fuel prices,…
The U.S. Is Walking Into Iran’s Escalation Trap
“I feel like a jackass caught in a Texas hailstorm -- I can’t run, I can’t hide and I can’t make it stop.” U.S. President Lyndon B. Johnson’s desperate comment to aide, Bill Moyers, came after a massive and sustained aerial bombing campaign in North Vietnam -- codenamed ‘Operation Rolling Thunder’ -- had failed in its aim of pressuring the North Vietnamese leadership into peace talks to end the spiralling conflict that became the 19-year Vietnam War. Shortly after, on 8 March 1965, following advice…
What If the Most Valuable Part of an EV Isn’t the Car?
Rapid depreciation in China's electric vehicle market is often portrayed as evidence that EVs are becoming disposable consumer electronics. Yet the opposite may prove true. While the vehicle loses value, the battery increasingly becomes a long-lived energy asset with multiple commercial lives ahead of it. For decades, critics of electric vehicles have warned about one inevitable problem. What happens when millions of batteries reach the end of their lives? Images of mountains of discarded battery packs have become a familiar feature of debates…
The Trade Routes Iran Cannot Afford to Lose
The future of relations between Central Asian republics (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan) and Iran under a government now dominated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is likely to feature pragmatic economic and transit cooperation amid heightened caution, with short-term disruptions from the 2026 conflict and longer-term continuity driven by mutual interests in connectivity and multipolarity. Iran's Shift to IRGC Leadership (as of mid-2026) Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and…
A Skeptical Look at Elon Musk’s AI Utopia
Our tech overlords tell us that artificial intelligence will soon create a world of abundance while solving our major problems such as climate change. Just so you know who I'm talking about, I have previously defined our tech overlords as "a grab bag of technology companies, technology scientists and inventors, and technology investors and journalists who have bewitched the modern world through inventions that speed up our daily lives without necessarily making them better." In a recent interview with The Economist magazine,…
Kazakhstan Restarts CPC Oil Exports After Week-Long Black Sea Shutdown
Kazakhstan resumed crude exports through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) on Monday after the operator reopened its Black Sea marine terminal and resumed accepting crude from producers following a week-long suspension triggered by drone attacks, Kazakhstan’s Astana Times reported. Two tankers were loading crude from the Chevron-led Tengizchevroil project at the Novorossiysk terminal, while producers resumed delivering oil into the CPC pipeline system, Kazakhstan’s Energy Ministry said. The ministry added that export operations…
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