The U.S. Power Play in Iraq That Moscow and Beijing Didn’t See Coming

As Russia remains occupied with its war in Ukraine, Iran focuses on defending its territory against U.S. and Israeli attacks, and China maintains its involvement in both conflicts under the bar that would trigger direct conflict with America, Washington is leveraging its position in Iraq. These efforts by the U.S. and its allies have taken on further urgency as Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi announced last week that the country plans to raise oil production to between 8 million barrels per day (bpd) and 10 million bpd within six years -- so…

Continue ReadingThe U.S. Power Play in Iraq That Moscow and Beijing Didn’t See Coming

SPR Sinks Toward Operational Minimum as U.S. Crude Inventories Build

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States rose by 4.2 million barrels in the week ending August 21. Analysts had expected a 1.9 million-barrel build. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories fell by 328,000. Commercial crude oil inventories excluding the SPR have lost just over 45 million barrels over the last nineteen weeks, with US crude inventories up 5.8 million for the year, according to API data, kept in check by draws from the SPR. For the week ending August 21, another 3.7 million…

Continue ReadingSPR Sinks Toward Operational Minimum as U.S. Crude Inventories Build

U.S. Refiners Face New Crude Squeeze as Canada Cuts Oil Sands Output

U.S. refineries have been running at full speed for months to make up for lost fuel supply from the Middle East. Fuel exports from the United States have been breaking records. This may be about to change, and not because of the war. It is oil sands maintenance season in Canada. In September, Canadian crude oil production may drop by 300,000 barrels daily due to maintenance activities in the oil sands, Rystad Energy said this week, as quoted by Bloomberg. Usually, whenever such a seasonal disruption occurs, it gets offset with crude from storage.…

Continue ReadingU.S. Refiners Face New Crude Squeeze as Canada Cuts Oil Sands Output

Uranium Prices Surge as Nuclear Demand Accelerates

Bloomberg's continuous front-month uranium futures contract (UXA1 Comdty) briefly surged above $100 a pound in late January, driven by tightening supplies, renewed government support for nuclear power, and rising electricity demand from the AI infrastructure boom. Uranium futures then retreated and remained range-bound between $84 and $87 for five months. But momentum has returned in August, with prices approaching $89 a pound, the highest level since early February. The ongoing theme is that years of underinvestment have limited mine supply growth…

Continue ReadingUranium Prices Surge as Nuclear Demand Accelerates

India’s Crude Import Bill Surges as Hormuz Shipping Rates Soar

India’s crude oil import bill has soared since the Iran war choked Middle Eastern oil supply, raised benchmark crude prices, quadrupled freight rates, and boosted insurance on a single Strait of Hormuz voyage to never-before-seen highs. India has been paying elevated prices to import Middle Eastern crude not only because of the spike in oil prices, but also due to the surging costs to bring supply from the nearest region from which it can import crude.    The freight rates on the key route from Ras Tanura on Saudi Arabia’s…

Continue ReadingIndia’s Crude Import Bill Surges as Hormuz Shipping Rates Soar

Japan Holds Off on New Oil Reserve Release Despite September Import Drop

Japan expects its oil imports next month to be lower than this month’s but has no plans to release additional crude from storage, the country’s economy minister said. Oil imports next month are seen at 80% of the average monthly for 2025, Ryosei Akazawa said, as quoted by Reuters. The report noted that the August import rate had been 100% of the 2025 monthly total. The change is prompted by the redirection of tanker traffic from the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to the Suez Canal, as Yemeni Houthis threaten attacks on vessels in the Red Sea…

Continue ReadingJapan Holds Off on New Oil Reserve Release Despite September Import Drop

JPMorgan and Santander Lead $15 Billion Financing Push for Argentina LNG

JP Morgan and Santander will lead a fundraising operation for Argentina LNG, Bloomberg has reported, citing unnamed sources who said the total could reach $15 billion. One of these told the publication the companies involved in the project aimed to make a final investment decision by November. The Argentina LNG project is a partnership between Italy’s Eni, Argentinian state energy major YPF, and Emirati XRG. The facility is to be built on Argentina’s Atlantic coast and have an annual production capacity of 12 million tons of liquefied…

Continue ReadingJPMorgan and Santander Lead $15 Billion Financing Push for Argentina LNG

Iran Threatens Retaliation as U.S. Widens Sanctions

Iran threatened an aggressive response to the latest U.S. sanctions announced on Monday by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, with a top government official noting Tehran was “fully prepared for the U.S. sanctions.” “Naturally, the enemies intend to launch an economic terrorist attack on us, but we also have our own tools and know how to play the game,” Iran’s economy minister Ali Madanizadeh said, as quoted by Reuters earlier today. “Our defense is no longer so defensive; the enemies should wait for an attack.”…

Continue ReadingIran Threatens Retaliation as U.S. Widens Sanctions